Beiträge mit dem Tag ‚Wirtschaft‘

“The intellectual leaders of the peoples have produced and propagated the fallacies which are on the point of destroying liberty and Western civilization.”Ludwig von Mises, Planned ChaosIt took multiple meetings and over 50 hours of official negotiations for EU leaders to reach an agreement on the appointments for the top jobs of the EU and the ECB, but in mid-July the results finally came in. ...

“Venezuela is the current poster child of interventionist failure”When looking at the quality of the media coverage of Venezuela’s crisis and the interpretations of the factors that caused it, the superficiality of most analyses quickly becomes apparent. The explanations offered by many “experts” and commentators largely ignore the country’s history and fail to take into account the pre-existin...

You can’t eat a cake that has not even been baked yetClaudio Grass (CG): How do you assess the steps taken so far to fend off the collapse of the pension system, like increasing the retirement age? Do you believe such measures will suffice and how do you evaluate their impact on the citizens’ lives?Carlos A. Gebauer (CAG): Frankly speaking, measures like increasing the retirement age to extend ...

You can’t eat a cake that has not even been baked yetFor quite some time now, I have been closely following news and reports out of Germany regarding the country’s pension system and the immense pressure it is under, placing those who support it and depend on it at great risk. Germany might be widely celebrated as the economic powerhouse of the EU and as its higher net contributor, supporting c...

Entgegen der noch immer weit verbreiteten positiven Stimmung, kollabiert im Hintergrund bereits die Welthandelsaktivität. Die Exporteinbrüche sind so extrem wie zuletzt 2008/2009, während der „Großen Rezession“ (siehe hierzu Abbildung 1). Die Weltwirtschaft kühlt somit nicht nur ab, sondern sie legt förmlich eine „Vollbremsung“ hin (Weltwirtschaftskrise).[caption id="attachment_10471" align="al...

Economic, social and human costBeyond privacy, there is also widespread concern over the economic impact of a fully cashless system. For one thing, as citizens slowly become exclusively dependent on big banks and card companies the systemic risk to the wider economy spikes. But it goes further that that too. Without the option to keep some cash outside the banking system and retain some degree ...

Interview with Dimitri SpeckGiven the massive intervention and monetary manipulation experiment by central banks over the last decade, the amount of distortions created in the market, as well as the record debt accumulation at all levels of the economy, have given rise to considerable risks for investors. For a more detailed understanding of these issues and for his outlook, I turned to Dimitri...

Interview with Dr. Markus Krall: When it comes to identifying and evaluating the key vulnerabilities and inherent risks of the banking and financial system, there are few who have the insights and practical experience that is required to truly understand the scale of the issue and its investing implications. This is precisely why Claudio Grass turned to Dr. Markus Krall, who graciously agreed t...

Rezession am HorizontLiebe Leser von pro aurum,auch wenn Ihnen die Marktschreier erzählen wollen, dass es an den Aktienmärkten nun wieder endlos aufwärts gehen wird, Fakt ist: die Wirtschaftsdaten, die in den vergangenen beiden Wochen veröffentlicht wurden, waren schlecht, und das weltweit.Beispielsweise sind die als Frühindikator der Weltwirtschaft geltenden Exporte Südkoreas ebenso schwach au...

Knock-on effectsOverall, under Mr. Draghi’s watch, the ECB’s balance sheet has ballooned to a previously unimaginable scale and aggressive policies like the extensive QE program and negative rates have encouraged the accumulation of debt and heavily distorted market mechanisms.Scores of “zombie” companies, that would have otherwise died off without the artificial life support of cheap credit, a...